Chaitan Rao
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DIGITAL

ACTION INSIGHTS

18/10/2017

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Great insights are the start point for strong marketing plans and strategies. Insights (an unobvious truth about your consumer) are rare and a reward for combining robust data analytics with product usage observations, consumer experiences, deep domain knowledge and lateral linkages between consumer life motivations and brand intersects.
 
As a first step investing in the collection, analysis and modeling of big data is prudent. But data the journey to insights does not stop here. There is a need to dig deeper into consumer motivations, behaviors, product usage and experiences to reveal ‘actionable insights’ around which marketing strategies and plans can be built.
 
How can we convert big data into action insights ?

  1. Understand the Context of the Business Goal : Before you begin the journey into actionable insights the problem definition – ‘what are you solving for?’, has to be tightly defined along with the context. “Brand X eCommerce sales have underperformed by 10% Vs Goal in Q1 (Business Problem) in the period that the promotions calendar has been modified/ pricing and marketing spends remaining fixed (Context) – where is the leaky bucket and what insights can we find to help sales recover by Q3?“.
  2. Start with Small Data : With a tightly defined business problem pruning the data feeds to narrow the field surrounding the immediate problem helps. Think brand inputs-consumer trends-competitive actions-technical variables.
  3. Segment : Data needs to be split into cohesive segments with common attributes to understand if there is a peculiar shift in one segment / a few segments that have contributed disproportionately to the business problem.
  4. Answer for ‘Why’ : Every delta in data points to a behavior change. Every behavior change has a reason ‘why’. Answering for ‘why’ will then lead you isolate specific reasons, improvement areas and gaps that are actionable next steps.
  5. Look for the Customer behind the Data: Not everything that’s true is revealed by data alone. If ‘why’ cannot be answered then its time to ask an actual consumer, observe and understand hidden motivations or patterns that lead to behavior change.
 
Gleaning actionable insights requires one last step – actioning the insight. The ability and willingness to action the insight findings balancing the resource constraints of  (time-money-opportunity cost) should be determined before you start the process of discovering the actionable insights. Amongst the list of resource constraints the one that tips the balance in more occasions than others is usually – time. Time taken for the analysis and decision making overflows into the time needed to start actioning the insights.  So be sure of the ability to action the insight before searching for the action insights.
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MASS PRECISION SEGMENTATION

29/9/2017

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Basic segmentation exercises like demographic segmentation have their usefulness in understanding large groups while psychographic segmentation helps in linking groups of people based on their mind-set and motivations. 

But as we move deeper into building relevance and realising the potential of mass precision targeting, value exchange and enabling desired action segmenting based on common behaviours becomes a step towards building  higher relevance and actionable marketing plans. Behavioral segmentation will help marketers ensure that their digital plans target the right consumers, engage with the right content that aids conversion – behavior change at scale. Behavioral segmentation promises ‘Mass Precision’.
 
To achieve the mass precision promise of behavioral segmentation we need to do the following:

  1. Move from Attention to Action : Desired behavior change (actions) are the end output that digital investments will be measured against. Actions that lead to conversion or that are probable proxies for conversion in the future. Buying an airline ticket might be an immediate conversion action but searching for holiday locations, visiting comparison sites for travel bookings, subscribing to an alert for travel promotions etc indicate the propensity for future behavior change and are good proxy actions.
  2. Create Action based Segmentation : Using the behavior change/ action proxies as a filter derive segments that are similar in action but differentiated in the volume, value, context of the action. Within the defined set of consumers who have performed the action/ proxy actions how do they break out into clusters that are different from each other ? Segment clusters will naturally break out on volume/ value parameters but other likely clusters based on destination/ time of year/ type of travel/ adjacent bookings (hotel + airline + type of tour + car rental) will reveal segments that are opportunities for further investment. 
  3. Chart the Consumer Journeys : The answer to ‘who does what action and why ?’ is what we are trying to ascertain. The order and cascading prioritization of actions will vary across segments. Internal data (current consumers, visitors to website, subscriptions), 3rd party data (search, social) needs to be blended with a qualitative understanding of the consumer to chart the different segment journeys. Its less important to be precise than to have answers to the key tipping points and barriers in the consumer journey with an in-depth insight into the ‘why’ behind the key actions. Behavior change is the objective and Consumer Journeys are rough guidelines that help interrogate the data and refine the investment choices. In most cases, it will inform organisations about changes that need to be made to improve user experience and remove friction in conversions.
  4. Small Data Analysis : Having isolated segments its time to use small data focused on certain key actions (Discovery, Intent, Conversion, Abandonment) to hone in on specific solutions for behavior change by segment. Prioritization based on segment size, actionability and urgency will be an output of this analysis.
  5. Pilot-Optimise: Time to action the investment choices as pilots, observe if the hypotheses in the analysis is verified in changing behavior within the segments.
 
Behavioral segmentation is a dynamic exercise as consumer preferences change, actions change in response to context. In order to keep ahead of these changes the next step in behavioral segmentation becomes a serious investment in machine learning/ predictive analytics. Using big data modeling to discover new opportunity - new segments, new actions. 
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RELEVANCE BUILDS REACH

2/8/2017

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In the attention economy brands are hungry for our attention.

There is a war for attention and success is benchmarked with proxy metrics like  ‘seconds’ and 'views' and 'reach'. But in chasing these metrics brands are struggling to win - an average view time for digital ads is 1.7 seconds while only 20% of digital ads are viewed beyond 2 seconds. The low figures are worrisome given that the digital advertising investment is upwards of $220 billion in 2017. This results in a continuous downward spiral where brands are creating more ads targeting wider audiences for higher reach, consumers responding to spam by using ad blocking software, leading to less time spent and so on. 

Here's an alternative way to think - action not attention, relevance and not reach is the goal. It does not matter if you are seen for 2, 30 or 300 seconds or if you have a 80%+ reach amongst a broad demographic if there is no relevant value exchange offered and no significant action taken after.  

A blind race for reach as a substitute for relevance will not solve the problem. Building relevance is a long term exercise for a brand. It involves understanding the consumer, your brand, the context of the interaction and the context of conversion.
 
a. Consumer : Segmenting consumers based on observed behaviors, their need states, understanding their consumer journeys and the ‘why’ within their journey, their core motivations based on life-stage/ geography and culture, their category involvement and interaction is step 1. Small + Deep Data is useful here. Know 10 consumers deeply Vs a faceless database of 1000 consumers.
 
b. Brand : The brands values (purpose), its value proposition that’s scalable, its role within culture and how will it present itself to its different constituents (act, voice, image, text).
 
c. Context of Interaction : For each consumer segment what are the ideal trigger moments, where and when do they occur ? Also, how do the segments want to be engaged in their consumer journey ? 
 
d. Context of Conversion : Breaking down conversion as the last mile to buy/ repurchase we can see that it involves acquisition-behaviors-outcomes all of which preceed purchase. Visiting your website (acquisition), viewing your video (behavior) or subscribing to your newsletter (outcome) are not purchases per se but meant to predict future purchase with differing probability.
 
This 4 step exercise is the beginning of building brand relevance. Done with discipline you will spend less money in chasing ‘seconds’ and more time in developing relevant brand experiences that convert.
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THE ACTION ECONOMY

6/7/2017

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There is too much attention being paid to the attention economy.
 
Alarming statistics abound about our shortened attention spans (12…8…6 seconds and dropping) and the mass of advertising messages (5,000 per day or 5 ads per waking minute – have you seen 5 in the last minute ?) without an equal and opposite insight on how long form content viewing (Netflix has 100 million + subscribers, 70% of whom binge watch, Hulu has 47 million subscribers and growing), reading (New York Times subscriptions grew 62% in 2016) seem to be on the uptick.
 
But is attention the right metric in the first place ? While ‘attention’ has its limited usefulness when measuring for content, its at best a proxy for ‘action’.

Scarcity of attention should be replaced by specificity of intention. An action economy approach correctly identifies and solves for the real scarcity – desirable consumers responses (outcomes).
 
Measurable outcomes or conversion – these are valuable metrics that marketers need to build for, not attention. It’s the misplaced trust in ‘attention’ that sees us spend inordinate amount of time and money in creating-curating content, rolling out  display advertising (ad nauseum), remarketing (annoyance ad infinitum) all of which are weak levers to deliver ROI. CMOs have begun to see the error in blindly praying to the digital god of attention – they want more accountability for their digital ad dollars, and by that they mean conversions.
 
The ability to create traction within an action based economy and framework will require first a deep understanding of consumer segments-journeys-action decision trees-triggers and a brand that is purpose driven and authentic in bringing utility to its community.

If ‘actions’ are what a brand wants to build towards how should they approach it ?
 
  1. Segment by New Users / Current Users / Loyalists : New Users will have different actions and decisions they are making Vs Current Consumers Vs Loyalists. Segmenting consumers in this way allows a brand to understand the desired actions as well as maps out the challenges it needs to overcome to conversion.
  • New Users : In certain categories, ‘new users’ may be unfamiliar with the category as the usage maybe a habit change that is required (electric cars, diet foods), a life-stage change (having a baby, buying car insurance), a mind-set change (on-line grocery shopping) or a combination of all three.  In other cases new users who are familiar with the category, might be inconsistent users (e-commerce, subscription services) and need to be coaxed into re-entering the category.
  • Current Users : They are in the category at most times, have a suite of brands they choose to buy and switch between each. They are constantly comparing brands in the price-value-convenience continuum and can be persuaded to switch between their select sub-set of brands
  • Loyalists : Are specific about the brand they are buying and buy regularly.

2.   Build ‘Actions’ Decision Trees: For each of the key consumer segments create an ‘action’ decision tree highlighting the types of actions consumers take when moving to purchase and the related triggers that impact their decisions. Unlike a traditional purchase funnel that highlights the different phases of the purchase cycle a decision tree connects one action to another specific action and also maps the distance (in time) of the action to the final purchase while doing so. This allows the brand to create a contextual strategy for actions and plan marketing investments accordingly.
  • 1 degree from Purchase: search ‘where to buy’ locations-opening hours (offline), compare pricing, look for discounts, check on warranty, verify free delivery
  • 2 degrees from Purchase: fix an appointment, visit offline store, scan QR code for information, subscribe to the newsletter, click on display, chat with customer services, visit product pages (in depth) on the website
  • 3 degrees from Purchase: search within category, view a video, play a branded game, try a brand sponsored filter, read the blog, read customer-expert reviews 

3. Create Trigger Maps: Map each of the segments by their ability to convert (skill, time and money), motivation to convert (need) and triggers required (call to action). 

4. Content : created based on purchase decision tree analysis. This is meant to include content for utility, engagement and not limited to conversion alone. 

5. Programmatic : Use post-trade programmatic + predictive modeling using machine learning to optimise spends that are more likely to convert. 

A few action driven digital investments to think about with an eye towards utility driven by context and a hint of intent : 
  1. Product Listing Ads : The purchase funnel can be compressed for a segment of consumers who are quite specific about their purchase, uninterested in browsing. Here, direct to sale listing of products that pops-up when a consumer is searching for specific products will offer quick and easy purchase options. Direct to sale clicks in 2017 is at 52% of retail paid clicks and growing steadily (was 29% in 2014).
  2. Targeted Pins (Pinterest) : When browsing becomes buying - a form of native advertising that helps consumers ‘buy what you love’ instantly. Consumer openness to buy in this manner has doubled in 2017 Vs 2014 (12% to 24%). Especially effective for fashion, beauty and cosmetics given the visually rich environment of Pinterest and the mindset of consumers browsing for ‘looks’ within Pinterest.
  3. Context x Services Mash-ups : Using different geo-services like deliveries, taxi transport and other online service offerings, how do we combine the usage of one service to incentivise the contextual use of another ? Knowledge of destination with services / offers available at the destination can drive contextual utility - restaurant, retail, sales event, time of day, type of destination (business district/ shopping district) etc..
  4. Storefronts : The ad is the store – browse endlessly. The ad is the transaction-buy now. The ad unit has become the store, content, ecommerce portal and customer service all rolled into one. This offers choice for consumers to browse as needed or buy spontaniously. It promises frictionelss instant gratification.
 
While the action economy seems to overtly focus on the bottom of the funnel conversion, in reality the efforts is to make the consumer journey faster and smoother. 
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BRAND BUILDING CONTENT

13/5/2017

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Picture
Brand building is seeing a resurgence in a digital age where marketers are struggling between justifying ROI on digital while continuing to learn/ optimize using the limited marketing budgets in an extensively competitive environment.
 
Two events significantly influence the resurgence of brand building:
1. Viewability and
2. Ad Blocking
 
1. Viewability
Marc Pritchard (CMO – P&G) at Dmexco 2017 noted that average view times for digital ads is 1.7 seconds while only 20% of digital ads are viewed beyond 2 seconds. Viewability is amongst the Top 2 concerns of digital media planners in the US.
 
2. Ad Blocking
Ad Blocking user penetration in the US is set to double in 4 years (15.7% in 2014 to 30.1% in 2018). The number for Millenials (age 25-34) is even higher at 40%.
 
How can marketers create a long term strategy to respond to the marketplace challenges ?  

Build relevance. A brand that embodies values that resonate with its targetted consumers, a brand that builds interest Vs interrupts and is sensitive to build utility around every engagement with its consumers.
 
Its interesting to see a successful company like AirBnB ($58 billion in market capitalisation) make an effort to build its brand. Nancy King (AirBnB) and Neil Barrie (TBWA/ Chiat/ Day) in an interview with FastCompany reviews the companys decision to actively build a brand. For a mega successful company in Silicon Valley to acknowledge that it needs to build its brand over the long term in a disciplined manner is in itself a remarkable break-through. Additionally, the logic for investing in brand building is sound and in many ways is applicable across categories for any brand. The need for marketers to build a brand continues to be a priority, inextricably linked with every digital investment journey they are making.
 
To paraphrase their step-by-step method (which I find applicable for every brand) :

  1. Need to Scale : Appeal to a broader target audience, beyond Millenials
  2. Ignite Behavior Change: Help people who are unused to AirBnB adopt new behaviors for their travel stay needs
  3. Build Emotional Relevance : Build trust by connecting on shared values (amongst non-Millennials)
  4. Invite Preference : Help people choose AirBnB Vs Expedia  
 
Brands are beginning to realise that the problems they face in combatting the challenges in digital marketing (Transparency, Attribution, Ad Blocking etc) are not going to go away soon. And that building their brand, being consumer centric is only Step 1 of winning in the long term.
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PERFORMANCE MARKETING @ Top of funnel

29/4/2017

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Performance marketing is often time seems as the bottom of the funnel activity. While a lot of the investments in performance marketing would make it seem like ‘bottom of funnel activity’ the reality is a little different. To clarify, its goals are realise at the bottom of the funnel (leads, conversions, sales) but its activation is across the entire customer journey.
 
The objective for performance marketing is conversion – leads, sign-ups, sales. Intermediate metrics like ‘clicks’ and ‘impressions’ are only milestones in building a more robust metric like CPA (Cost Per Acquisition) and should not be treated as an end to themselves.
 
Lets talk about 3 key metrics for Performance Marketing (for a full range on this topic please read Avinash Kaushiks blog on this topic – link given below) :
  1. Cost Per Acquisition (CPA)
  2. Micro Conversions
  3. Macro Conversions
 
How can we improve these performance marketing metrics and how is it linked to top-medium funnel consumer engagement ?

  1. CPA : Cost per acquisistion is commonly understood as the Cost of the Campaign divided by the Conversions (where conversions is a desirable action/ goal that either leads to sale or is a sale). Reducing CPA has two components:
    1. Eliminate Wasteage : Look at post click through drop offs from the POV of underperformance in Search key words / landing page optimisation / mobile compatibility/ content fit as reasons why the drop-offs could occur.
    2. Improve Frictionless Flow : Audit user flows and think about reduction in steps/ simplicity in step completion to aid conversion.
  2. Micro Conversion : Actions taken by consumers that strongly signal future intent are micros-conversions. Subscriptions to your newsletters, viewing your content, booking an appointment for a test-drive, form filling, making an enquiry are all medium to strong intent signals by consumers to buy your product. Isolate these valuable opportunities and see if you are making it simple and utilitarian for consumers to perform these behaviors. A better understanding of the user journey/ personas/ goals will lead to building a better user experience that usually eliminates much of the issues faced in microconversions.
  3. Macro Conversion : Is the ultimate outcome desired – subscriptions, sales etc.. The last mile to conversion has usually the issues of complexity and transparency (pricing/ hidden costs/ delivery). Providing for complete transparency of pricing in terms of key cost factors (hidden costs/ delivery/ returns etc) earlier on in the process while eliminating the complexity of order completion in the last mile should help improve macro conversions.
 
The value of performance marketing when done right is strategic and goes beyond short-term results to optimising the entire user journey for widening the funnel at the top-middle while enabling an ease of conversion at the bottom.
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    Building iconic brands using data, design and digital.

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